State Market Intelligence Report • April 06, 2026
State Market Intelligence Report
Sample State
140 facilities • 16,023 beds • Report ID: SMR-XX-202604
Data vintage
Staffing (PBJ)Q3 2025 (PBJ)
Health inspectionsthrough Apr 2026
Federal penaltiesthrough Apr 2026
Quality measuresthrough Apr 2026
Ownership recordsthrough Apr 2026
Fire safetythrough Apr 2026
Facility financialsFY2024 HCRIS
Local demographics2023 ACS 5-year estimates
Each layer refreshed at the fastest cadence CMS publishes. PBJ staffing is released quarterly approximately 45 days after each collection period; deficiencies, penalties, and ownership records update continuously as agencies post them.
1 Executive Summary
Sample State nursing home market overview • 2025-Q3 data
140
Nursing Facilities
16,023
Certified Beds
54.0%
With Compliance Gaps
82.9
Avg Stability Score
Sample State has 140 Medicare-certified nursing facilities with 16,023 certified beds. As of 2025-Q3, 54.0% of facilities have at least one compliance gap heading into the industry staffing benchmarks. The state’s average staffing stability score is 82.9 out of 100. There are 6 Special Focus Facilities and 10 immediate jeopardy citations recorded in the past three years.
2 Compliance Landscape
Facility readiness against industry staffing benchmarks
Compliant
64
46.0% of facilities meet all 3 thresholds
At Risk
51
36.7% missing 1 threshold
Non-Compliant + Critical
24
17.3% failing 2+ thresholds
Compliance Trend — XX vs National (11 Quarters)
Compliance readiness is tracked quarterly using CMS Payroll-Based Journal data against three industry staffing benchmarks: 3.48 total nursing HPRD, 0.55 RN HPRD, and 24/7 registered nurse presence. Facilities meeting all three are “Compliant.” Those meeting two are “At Risk.” The chart above shows Sample State’s compliance trajectory compared to the national average.
3 Payer Mix Intelligence
Revenue composition • State vs national benchmarks
State vs National Payer Mix
Medicare
17.8%
National avg: 11.1% — highest margin payer
Medicaid
44.9%
National avg: 55.1% — reimburses ~82¢ per dollar of cost
Private Pay
37.3%
National avg: 33.7% — highest per-diem revenue
Private Pay % by County
A facility’s payer mix is the strongest public signal of its financial health. Higher private pay and Medicare concentrations indicate stronger revenue capacity for staffing investments and contract rates. Sample State’s payer mix is broadly in line with national averages. Revenue composition varies significantly by county — see the chart above for county-level detail.
4 Staffing Stability Overview
Proprietary composite scoring across 14.5M daily staffing records
82.9
Avg Stability Score
0.1
Avg Zero-RN Days/Qtr
42
Low Staffing Rating
6
Special Focus Facilities
County Non-Compliance Rate vs Avg Violations
The Staffing Stability Score is a 0–100 composite of six weighted sub-metrics: staffing volatility (25%), weekend drop-off (20%), zero-RN days (20%), coverage gap (15%), contract dependency (10%), and turnover velocity (10%). Higher scores indicate more stable, reliable staffing patterns.
5 Contract Dependency Analysis
Agency staffing utilization across Sample State facilities
3.1%
Avg Contract Staffing
2
High/Critical Dependency
140
Total Facilities
3.0
Avg Violations (12mo)
Contract Staffing % by County
Contract dependency measures the percentage of total nursing hours provided by agency/contract staff vs permanent employees. Higher dependency indicates either chronic recruitment challenges or seasonal surge patterns. For staffing agencies: counties with high contract utilization represent established markets. Counties with low contract utilization but high non-compliance represent untapped opportunity. Sample State’s contract utilization of 3.1% is moderate. 2 facilities are in the HIGH or CRITICAL dependency tier, representing the most agency-dependent facilities in the state.
6 County Market Rankings
All counties with 3+ facilities, ranked by facility count
CountyFacBedsAvg RatingMedicaid PrivateStability%NCContractAvg ViolIJ (3yr)
County 1779,139 3.939.0%40.8%82.9 13.0%2.6%2.54
County 2243,042 3.248.7%37.8%83.8 25.0%4.5%2.71
County 37556 2.451.6%30.6%82.1 57.1%3.3%5.70
County 46632 2.753.5%27.6%83.6 0.0%1.6%2.71
County 56608 3.263.9%22.8%81.2 0.0%5.1%1.50
County 64372 3.565.4%22.9%82.0 25.0%0.3%5.00
County 74303 2.548.9%22.1%83.3 25.0%2.8%7.30
County 84472 3.351.2%36.9%81.5 0.0%4.3%2.50
County 93424 2.710.2%81.1%85.7 33.3%1.3%2.71
County 103289 1.377.3%13.0%82.9 33.3%4.9%3.32
7 Top 25 Staffing Opportunities
Facilities ranked by SeniorIndex Staffing Need Score (0–100)
Opportunity Map: Staffing Need vs Revenue Quality
#FacilityCityCountyBeds RatingRN HrsMedicaidPrivate StabilityContractScore
1Facility 1City 1County 1 192★★☆☆☆0.21 0.0%95.6% NON COMPLIANT 6.0% 83
2Facility 2City 1County 1 194☆☆☆☆0.40 2.5%97.4% AT RISK 0.0% 82
3Facility 3City 2County 2 240★★☆☆☆0.54 0.7%96.9% AT RISK 1.2% 68
4Facility 4City 2County 2 94★★☆☆☆0.34 56.3%37.8% AT RISK 17.1% 67
5Facility 5City 3County 1 160★★★☆☆N/A 56.5%38.5% NON COMPLIANT 0.0% 65
6Facility 6City 1County 1 58★★☆☆☆0.38 0.8%95.1% NON COMPLIANT 10.9% 59
7Facility 7City 4County 10 119☆☆☆☆0.35 94.4%2.4% NON COMPLIANT 14.7% 58
8Facility 8City 2County 2 129★★★☆☆0.29 82.7%14.7% NON COMPLIANT 0.5% 56
9Facility 9City 5County 8 109★★☆☆☆0.81 0.0%93.6% COMPLIANT 0.6% 55
10Facility 10City 1County 1 115☆☆☆☆0.34 N/AN/A NON COMPLIANT 1.2% 53
11Facility 11City 6County 3 80★★☆☆☆0.43 46.3%37.4% NON COMPLIANT 7.4% 52
12Facility 12City 7County 1 141★★☆☆☆0.44 N/AN/A AT RISK 0.0% 51
13Facility 13City 8County 9 134★★☆☆☆0.52 0.0%91.7% NON COMPLIANT 0.0% 51
14Facility 14City 9County 3 116☆☆☆☆0.40 63.8%26.5% AT RISK 0.0% 50
15Facility 15City 9County 3 128★★☆☆☆0.35 57.6%27.6% CRITICAL 6.0% 50
16Facility 16City 10County 1 120★★☆☆☆0.48 65.4%28.8% AT RISK 0.0% 47
17Facility 17City 2County 2 144★★★☆☆0.33 N/AN/A AT RISK 0.0% 46
18Facility 18City 2County 2 312★★☆☆☆0.49 77.7%19.9% AT RISK 0.0% 45
19Facility 19City 3County 1 204★★☆☆☆0.42 89.8%8.7% AT RISK 0.0% 44
20Facility 20City 2County 2 103★★☆☆☆0.55 2.9%85.5% AT RISK 3.2% 44
21Facility 21City 2County 2 230★★★☆☆0.45 69.5%25.1% AT RISK 7.4% 44
22Facility 22City 2County 2 112★★★☆☆0.37 61.9%29.8% NON COMPLIANT 0.0% 44
23Facility 23City 2County 2 162☆☆☆☆0.70 63.4%28.9% COMPLIANT 0.7% 43
24Facility 24City 3County 1 122☆☆☆☆0.67 71.2%27.1% AT RISK 0.2% 43
25Facility 25City 1County 1 200☆☆☆☆1.20 N/AN/A COMPLIANT 33.5% 43
Staffing Need Score combines: Staffing Gap (30pts), Revenue Quality (25pts), Regulatory Pressure (20pts), Facility Size (15pts), and Violation Signal (10pts). Higher scores indicate facilities that both need contract staff and have the revenue to pay for them.
8 Violation Hotspots
Regulatory pressure by county • Average violations per facility (12 months)
Average Violations per Facility by County
3.0
State Avg Violations (12mo)
10
Immediate Jeopardy (3yr)
6
Special Focus Facilities
Violation data is sourced from CMS health inspection records. Immediate jeopardy citations represent the most severe category — conditions that cause or are likely to cause serious injury, harm, impairment, or death. Counties with high violation rates and high non-compliance represent markets under intense regulatory scrutiny, creating urgency-driven demand for contract staffing.
9 Penalty Intelligence
Enforcement actions, fines, and regulatory trends
$1,118,813
Total Fines (3yr)
68
Penalty Actions
5
Payment Denials
38
Facilities Penalized
Penalty Fines by Year
Average fine amount: $17,759. 38 out of 140 facilities (27.1%%) have received at least one penalty action in the past three years. Higher enforcement intensity signals markets where facilities face operational pressure and may urgently need staffing support.
10 Quality Benchmarks
Clinical outcome measures • State vs national comparison
Long-Stay Quality Measures: State vs National Average
Quality measures are derived from the Minimum Data Set (MDS) assessments and Medicare claims data. Lower values indicate better outcomes for adverse measures (falls, pressure ulcers, antipsychotic use). Facilities with poor quality scores face higher regulatory scrutiny and are more likely to need supplemental staffing to improve outcomes to meet industry staffing benchmarks.
11 Ownership Landscape
Chain operators, ownership composition, and market consolidation
77.9%%
Chain-Affiliated Facilities
10
Chain Operators Active
31
Independent Facilities
Chain OperatorState FacilitiesTotal NationwideAvg Rating
Chain Operator 1373293.2 ★
Chain Operator 220202.7 ★
Chain Operator 3101943.5 ★
Chain Operator 472642.9 ★
Chain Operator 54292.3 ★
Chain Operator 6454.4 ★
Chain Operator 73522.4 ★
Chain Operator 83154.3 ★
Chain Operator 93264.7 ★
Chain Operator 10232.0 ★
Ownership Type Distribution
12 Financial Health
CMS HCRIS Cost Reports (Form 2540-10) — State Aggregate
$16,475,900
Avg Facility Revenue
-13.8%
Avg Operating Margin
$205,976
Avg Revenue / Patient Day
$113,410
Avg Cost / Patient Day
43.7%
Unprofitable Facilities
59
Operating at a Loss
135
Facilities with Financial Data
Financial data derived from CMS HCRIS cost reports (Form 2540-10). Margin = (revenue - expenses) / revenue. Facilities with incomplete filings excluded. National avg operating margin: -9.1% (FY2024).
Source: CMS Cost Report Filings (HCRIS, Form 2540-10)
13 Methodology & Data Sources
Report ID: SMR-XX-202604 • Generated April 06, 2026
This report is generated from the SeniorIndex.ai database, which aggregates multiple federal and state data sources into a unified intelligence platform. Primary data sources include CMS Provider Data Catalog (facility profiles, star ratings, quality measures), CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily nurse staffing files (14.5 million records across 11 quarters), CMS HCRIS cost report data (facility-level payer mix), and CMS health inspection and enforcement records (419,452 deficiencies).
Staffing Stability Score (0–100): Weighted composite of six sub-metrics — Staffing Volatility (25%), Weekend Drop-Off (20%), Zero-RN Days (20%), Coverage Gap (15%), Contract Dependency (10%), Turnover Velocity (10%). Each normalized to 0–100 scale.
Staffing Assessment: COMPLIANT = meets all 3 industry benchmarks (3.48 total HPRD, 0.55 RN HPRD, zero zero-RN days). AT_RISK = meets 2 of 3. NON_COMPLIANT = meets 0–1 with no positive trend. CRITICAL = fails all 3 or 10+ zero-RN days.
Staffing Need Score (0–100): Staffing Gap (30pts) + Revenue Quality (25pts) + Regulatory Pressure (20pts) + Facility Size (15pts) + Violation Signal (10pts).
Limitations: PBJ data reflects paid hours only. Contract percentages are derived from aggregate data. Payer mix is based on most recent available cost report filing. The Staffing Stability Score and Staffing Need Score are proprietary analytical products and do not represent CMS endorsements or regulatory determinations. Compliance projections are estimates and should not be construed as legal advice.